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'Desperate' builders turn to renting as house prices fall



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Published Date: 16 July 2008
'To let' signs replace 'for sale' boards as the housing market switches focus after the credit crunch
SCOTLAND'S faltering housing market is forcing estate agents and builders to move into letting properties instead of selling them.

Across the country, house builders and agents hit by the credit crunch squeeze on mortgages are shifting their focus to the rental sector, The Scotsman can reveal.

Evidence of the change emerged yesterday when Glasgow estate agency Clyde Properties revealed it had purged three directors and made a number of redundancies in its estate agency business.

Alan Burke, Martin Smith and Martin Turner resigned as directors of Clyde Properties to pursue "better opportunities outwith estate agency", Bill Cullens, chairman and founder of Clyde Property, disclosed.

Cullens told The Scotsman that sales of houses across Scotland were down 40 per cent and average house prices have collapsed as much as 15 per cent.

He said: "Along with other agencies there have been redundancies on the estate agency side. It would be foolhardy not to do these things."

As an alternative, Clyde has invested £1.2m in a new headquarters that also serves as a lettings centre.

"Last year we had 1,500 let and managed properties, today we are sitting on over 1,800," said Cullens, who estimated this figure will grow to 2,000 by the end of the year.

He added: "We are looking to expand our lettings business either through acquisition or organic growth.

"We see that really growing in the next couple of years."

Further evidence of the shift emerged yesterday when lettings agency D J Alexander reported it has received approaches from several smaller-scale residential developers desperate to rent out flats that had been intended for sale.

David Alexander, the chief executive of the agency, said letting out properties was a "lifeline" for some builders. According to Alexander, demand in the lettings market was driving up rents as much as 25 per cent on average.

Gordon Cunningham, head of residential property at Tods Murray, yesterday predicted that letting will be attractive to first-time buyers and short-term purchasers such as students and professionals on assignment.

Cunningham said: "More people are going to be forced to let, such as first-time buyers, and I suppose even the short-term purchase people who plan to be in Edinburgh for a few years.

"It is going to be better because the way prices are going, 'to buy not rent' has turned on its head. No-one will consider a short-term purchase."

He argued that house-builders could easily turn renters into buyers when mortgages become more available.

He said: "A good proportion of the people who initially rent homes from them will want to stay on as owner-occupiers once the mortgage situation eases."




The full article contains 473 words and appears in The Scotsman newspaper.
Page 1 of 1

 
1

JRA,

16/07/2008 00:15:21
A friend of mine tells me that his tenant moved out and within 3 days his agent appointed a new one paying 10% more than the last.

There is no doubt that rents are rising but I think 25% may be wide of the mark. 10-15% definetly.
2

jockdoonunder,

Sydney,OZ 16/07/2008 04:09:31
We have the same problem here "doonunder" as rents are increasing and there is a shortage of available housing. Some people even offer a years rent in advance in an attempt to obtain a place!!
Also house repossessions are on the increase due to increases in mortgage rates.
It appears to be a general problem throughout the western world.
3

ccc,

16/07/2008 06:59:22
"According to Alexander, demand in the lettings market was driving up rents as much as 25 per cent on average"

What a load of tosh.

People can't sell thier houses - they rent them out.
Builders can't sell their houses - they rent them out.

Yeah that is going to push rents up by 25%. Fantasy thinking. Maybe this paper should look at the exposure Mr Alexander gets because his figures are simply wrong. If rents are going up 'on average' by 25% I am David Alexanders milkman. And i am not. :)
4

Here Today HBOS Tomorrow,

16/07/2008 10:12:10
Hmm, no doubt demand will rise but as there are so many unsold properties especially new builds, this should help ease the pain. However I suspect this is crunch two, having first gone through escalating purchase prices and mortgages the investors and con artists that are letting agents will start hiking up prices by praying on people who cannot get a mortgage. Thus prompting yet another bubble, this time in rents.
5

easy money,

16/07/2008 10:22:53
landlords should be hiking up their rents as much as possible and taking advantage of the situation...this will at least get them through the next two years after which we'll start to see the market prices for property edge up again...Edinburgh is unique and people will continue to pay silly money to either live or rent here....
6

ccc,

16/07/2008 10:33:45
Easy Money.

Serious question. Who are you trying to convince ? Others or yourself ?

"Edinburgh is unique and people will continue to pay silly money to either live or rent here"

You know Edinburgh has always been unique. Just like every other place in this World. However it is only in the last 5 years people have paid 'silly money' to live here. Before 2002 it was perfectly reasonable. After this crash it will be so again. What we have seen in the last 5 years is the exception, rather than the rule. It is so obvious I do despair when I have to point these things out to people.
7

McNic,

here 16/07/2008 18:01:45
I have recently moved from 1 terraced home to another 2 doors down, both rented.

I rented the first one for 12 months at £475 pcm,and now I have a 12 month lease at £500 pcm for the second.

That is a rise of 5.5%.

Where are these reported figures coming from?

Or is this the start of a push by builders to increase rents?
8

Lord_S,

Edinburgh 16/07/2008 18:36:29
"Edinburgh is unique and people will continue to pay silly money to either live or rent here...."

What's so great about Edinburgh? Have you ever actually travelled out of Edinburgh? It really isn't anything special at all. It's not particularly attractive and the outskirts are just plain depressing. I fail to see why thousands will move here and pay "silly money" to live in the likes of Muirhouse or Wester Hailes. Oh, and have you looked at the kind of salaries jobs in Edinburg pay? no? You'll find they're pretty low.
9

easy money,

16/07/2008 21:45:16
lord - people will continue to pay good money to live in the nice areas so then can avoid the ghetto's like wester hailes, leith etc... there is plenty money in this city believe me and there will be no crash here...2 years flatline and then watch the prices edge up again as the banks start lending...those on the low salary scale can prop up the situation till it recovers by paying high rents...happy days if you're a landlord i'd say...
10

easy money,

16/07/2008 21:53:03
ccc - im not trying to convince anybody or myself...i just remember all the prophets of doom told me all the same things in the 90's and we came through strong...Edinburgh is special and although some of the ghetto areas like Leith & Gorgie will see some bargains from desparate sellers (1 bed flats) dont expect anything other than a flatline in prices for 20 - 24 months...in the nice areas sellers will still get their price - remember there's not enough decent houses to go around in the capital..especially near the good schools...rentals should be pushed up considerably by landlords in the meantime to offset the higher rates...then its business as usual till things get back to normal..
11

Np57Np,

17/07/2008 02:56:51
Hey easy money, give it a chance mate. The price crash is in early days and Scotland tends to lag south of the border anyways. The recession is begining to bite and things will get a lot worse, even in Edinburgh. Your arguments would equally apply to London, but prices are dropping there now.

I'm sensing that this article is designed to drive up rents. Also, there's comments regarding increased rents and it's all ONE BIG SCAM. There's more and more rental stock, and look on Rightmove and how slow houses get rented.
With inflation making life more expensive, and house prices dropping, rents are going to get cheaper.

Why can't these builders drop their prices to say, 2003 levels? They were presumably making a profit then, and building costs have not increased that much. If they are waiting for prices to escalate again before they sell, then these properties will just end up as renters, cuz recovery is a long way off.

I've read a few articles about rents rising. It sounds like the death knells of a dying building/ EA industry as there's no hope of selling now at unsustainable prices, so rents are their only hope of survival. Don't fall for this garbage. remember, people are not forced to rent and will not pay over the odds. I won't, and I'm renting a very nice country cottage.
12

Highland Property Bubble,

Inverness 17/07/2008 08:24:52
This article highlights the desperate situation that property developers are finally finding themselves in.
As the property crash unfolds, the demand from buyers for overinflated property, both new build and existing, has all but disappeared.
It is a myth however to suggest that rental yields are somehow magically thriving as the economy faces a downturn. An advertised asking price for a lease on a property can, and should, be bargained for by any potential leaseholder.
13

jameskinvests,

selkirk 17/07/2008 10:57:28
The reason prices have climbed so high is greed, coupled with basic financial ignorance of the lay investor.
Sentiment, and press comment has been positive for the last few years,but who has been making this comment, interested parties,banks,estate agents,brokers,builders, in other words interested parties.WAKE UP PEOPLE!
I think basic economics should be taught at school,along with a little cynical rationalism of the press.

PS Yes I did put my money where my mouth is, I sold my last BTL 9 months ago.
14

ip,

edinburgh 17/07/2008 11:07:42
Edinburgh is special - bizarre nonsense. There is a credit crunch. People from edinburgh who want to buy a house and need a mortgage either cannot get one or need to pay more for it. This will restrict demand. No one place escapes this. What magic does living in the city of Edinburgh confer to its residents that help them get mortgages to buy houses.

Forgive me if I am out of the loop and there is some magic edinburgh kilt that one can buy that wards of the demand effect of the credit crunch. Easymoney, spill the beans where do we buy this!
15

ip,

edinburgh 17/07/2008 11:19:44
Also rents going up. Another bit of unexplained magic...

There is an increase in demand that will push rents up for those now cut out of the housing market by the credit crunch, as well as by those know the prices are tonking and are staying out to get a good deal later.

There is an increase in supply from those now unable to sell their properties who are renting.

Why will the demand effect should be stronger than the supply effect. It may be but we need evidence beyond the hopes of desperate estate agents eager to make bigger commissions.

 

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Today's Vote

Is it a good idea for builders to offer incentives to first-time buyers?
Yes, it gives them the chance to get on the property ladder.
It helps, but they’ll struggle to get a decent mortgage rate.
No, first-time buyers should wait for the crisis to pass.

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