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Scotland bucks UK housing slump



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Published Date: 06 January 2009
Scotland is bucking the trend in the UK property market after new figures today showed a rise in prices in the last quarter.
Scotland also recorded the smallest drop in the cost of a home in the last 12 months, a survey by mortgage lender Nationwide found.

The average house price fell by 8.1% north of the border in 2008 compared with 14.8% in England and 32.4% in Northe
rn Ireland.
Prices actually saw a 0.1% increase in the last quarter of the year – the only part of the UK to experience a rise between October and December.

Across the UK the cost of a home dropped by an average of 4.4%.
And Scots are the most optimistic about the future, with 11% believing prices will increase in the next six months.

But Nationwide said housing market conditions remained uncertain.
Chief economist Fionnuala Earley said: "Scotland continues to experience the smallest falls in the UK.

"While prices in Scotland are 8.1% lower than last year, Scotland was the only part of the UK to show a seasonally adjusted increase in prices in October-December.

"While prices increased by only 0.1%, this follows a fall of 5.1% in the third quarter (Q3) – larger than the UK average in Q3 – and suggests that conditions in Scotland are still somewhat uncertain."

The average house price in Scotland stands at £138,941.

The most expensive area is Edinburgh, where the average home costs £241,617, while Fife is the most affordable region, with home buyers spending around £131,565 on average.

Renfrewshire and Inverclyde saw the largest annual fall in prices (15%), followed by Dunbartonshire and North Lanarkshire (12%).




The full article contains 287 words and appears in The Scotsman newspaper.
Page 1 of 1

 
1

ccc,

06/01/2009 12:02:44
How many times can Scotland "buck the trend" before people realise we are just as goosed as everyone else !!

Talk about cherry picking figures. If you look at the breakdown of the Scottish areas EVERY SINGLE ONE shows Year on Year quarterly falls were worse in Q4 than in Q3. That means the trend is accelerating - downwards.

I imagine the tiny increase (Only 0.1%) between Q3 and Q4 has something to do with the miniscule amount of sales recorded during this period.

House price falls in most parts of Scotland have been less than much of the UK SO FAR - this is mainly because prices here started falling about 6 months after the rest of the UK. Not rocket science.

We are catching up pretty fast though - and when the rest of the UK finally starts to recover (Probably 2011 or later) we will be lagging behind again. Our recovery will also be delayed. Again - not rocket science.

Do people not get that the quicker this is all over with the better ? I am continually staggered by the lack of brainpower allegedally intelligent people have.
2

Liz,

Edinburgh 06/01/2009 12:29:52
This article is brilliant.

"And Scots are the most optimistic about the future, with 11% believing prices will increase in the next six months."

All brainwashed by this kind of awful article I suspect (sorry should that be advert) in this 'news'paper. Where are the quotes from the ESPC telling us how much prices in Edinburgh will be rising next year?
3

ccc,

06/01/2009 13:08:42
And what % of that 11 bought in the last 6 months :)

To be fair to the ESPC they have actually been fairly realistic recently. They know the game is up and the only way to save themselves is to get the crash over with ASAP.

Any commision is better than no commision.
4

JG,

Fife 06/01/2009 18:18:15
#2 Liz
""And Scots are the most optimistic about the future, with 11% believing prices will increase in the next six months.""

Not all that optimistic really - it would also mean that 89% are actually pesimistic!

Also, Scottish house prices were never as high as English ones so the adjustment wouldn't be so great.
5

EnglishHighlander,

06/01/2009 20:06:24
Thankfully, there will always be pessimists and optimists to balance each other out. I can't see Scotland getting away with it, but the increase in England and Northern Ireland was much greater and, probably, so will the crash in values.

I've been through this before and what comes around, goes around. There will be another boom eventually.

I can't help but think, 'though, that we have talked ourselves into this recession.
6

reader,

Edinburgh 06/01/2009 21:42:04
This article fits in nicely with a recent one saying that houses above £1 million, unlike cheaper ones, continue to sell: http://business.scotsman.com/mortgageandpropertynews/Sales-of-1mplus-homes-are.4841064.jp
Of course, when expensive houses continue to sell (even if their price also falls) and cheaper ones don't, the average price of all sold houses goes up - no magic there. The question is: what does it all mean? Certainly not that Scotland is bucking the trend. It could for example mean that in Scotland even fewer cheaper houses are sold (compared to million-plus houses) than in England and Wales - hardly a sign to call the end of the house price crash.

 

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