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Olympics in cyberspace, lab-grown meat, licences to have children, climate change denial a crime, and return of the launderette: welcome to 2030



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Published Date: 13 October 2008
A CHILLING world where licences are required for having children and questioning global warming is a crime could be ushered in by climate change, a report out today predicts.
Governments could ban car ownership and automatically switch off power-hungry devices such as kettles and washing machines if households exceeded energy quotas.

The scenario is one of five potential responses to climate change described by a panel of 60 experts in the study by Forum for the Future, a sustainable development group.

These range from a hi-tech, low-carbon economy to citizens living a simpler life.

Technological responses could include artificially grown meat feeding millions of people, coasts being protected by "eco-concrete" sea walls which generate energy from waves, and massive solar-powered desalination plants irrigating deserts.

Another scenario, in which rocketing fuel prices spur innovation, imagines door-to-door laundry collections replacing washing machines.

The Olympic Games would be replaced by a virtual version, with athletes staying at home and competing – and being watched – via cyberspace.

Peter Madden, the chief executive of Forum for the Future, said aspects of all the scenarios were likely to take place. He said: "What we do now could determine the fate of billions of people. These could be the most important years in history."

Duncan McLaren, the chief executive of Friends of the Earth Scotland, said the report was a timely wake-up call.

He said: "It is right to highlight the potential negatives, because we have left taking action until it is almost too late.

"But we should not say it's all going to be a disaster and shove the blinkers back on, which too many people are doing at the moment. There are positive aspects to every scenario, such as rolling back globalisation."

On Eigg, for example, residents have agreed to limit electricity use to prevent overloading their wind- and solar-powered system.

The five possible futures for mankind

'GOLDEN AGE': Rapid innovation in energy efficiency and new technology has enabled a low-carbon economy with almost no need for changes in lifestyle.

The result is an increasingly individualistic and consumer-focused world, with a growing divide between rich and poor.

Some call this a golden age of technology and freedom, but others call it a very shaky house of cards.

CARBON WORLD: Carbon has become one of the most important and expensive commodities in the world, unleashing unprecedented levels of creativity across the global economy.

It has also created a new type of consumerist world, with a "share with your neighbour" ethos.

Many companies also now meet underlying needs by selling services, not products.

GREEN EUTOPIA: A "well-being" economy has come to the fore across the world, whose key values include low-impact lifestyles more quality time with family and friends, better health and a increased sense of community.

However, "free-riders" plunder resources and exploit the vulnerable.

Several large cities set themselves up as "havens of real capitalism".

DRACONIAN STEPS: Tough measures have been adopted to combat climate change in a world which woke up late to the threat, pushing economies to the limit of what they can deliver.

Governments took a stronger and stronger role, rationalising industries to reduce their climate change impact, even putting "carbon monitors" in people's homes to watch their energy use.

OPEN WAR: Globalisation has gone into retreat and countries focus on security and access to resources at any cost.

Accusations of cheating over emissions agreements, such as through undeclared power stations, cause international co-operation to collapse.

Terrorists capitalise on the chaos to further their nationalist causes by launching devastating bio-chemical attacks.

The full article contains 630 words and appears in The Scotsman newspaper.
Page 1 of 1

  • Last Updated: 12 October 2008 9:44 PM
  • Source: The Scotsman
  • Location: Edinburgh
  • Related Topics: Climate change
 
1

somerferg,

perth 13/10/2008 01:29:45

Personally the ONLY thing I find frightening about this piece of junk journalism is the ANYONE would be daft enough to believe any of this pi$h!! Notice if you will the subtle way that the journo even manages to have a go at nationalists in the last sentence - not capitalising on the choas to further their religious/economic/social causes no no the Hootsman says its because of their nationalist causes - naughty, naughty.
2

weeshooie1,

Wollongong 13/10/2008 03:01:32
'Citizens leading a simpler life'

Get pished, fa' doon. It disnae get any simpler than that.
3

Boy Wonder,

13/10/2008 06:23:32
#1. With you all the way there, somerferg.

More scarifing tripe from The Hootsmon!!!
4

Unimpressed one,

13/10/2008 07:44:32
When asked some 30 years ago what the future would be like now, most 'experts' thought personal flying transport of some description would be the norm and machines would be doing everything for us whilst we lounged around having 35 hours of leisure time. How right they were - not.

Notice Duncan McLaren is one of the few idiots around to give credence to this pile of shi*te. Hopefully the Scotsman will start publishing episodes of Dan Dare shortly in order to bring more sanity to its columns.
5

Unbeliever,

13/10/2008 07:53:24
Do these people actually get paid for coming up with this c**p?
Must be taxpayer funded.
6

Tweedmouth,

Coldstream 13/10/2008 09:28:26
The head honcho at 'Forum for the Future' is Sir Jonathan Porrit - some one who really knows about the rea; world: he attended Eton, then Oxford; he is the son of the surgeon to King George VI and inherited a baronetcy from his father. So Porrit - the high priest of the Global Warming Religion in this country wants to shape the future for us all - to fulfill his green dreams. He and his pals at FoF are pulling in a river of cash and enriching themselves through consultancies and endless seminars. Duncan McLaren is his chief acolyte and guardian of the green temple in Scotland.
Totall, utter b@llshit.
7

Thomas the Tank,

Edinburgh 13/10/2008 10:06:24
Agreed - I've never heard of 'Forum for the Future' or its so-called 'chief executive', but as soon as I got to the moon-howlings of Duncan McLaren, I turned off. "questioning global warming - a crime" ? Is that not much the same as what was once called Heresy, which religious zealots and other loonies burned people for? Is that the 'enlightenment' that the aptly named Madden, Porrit and McLaren (only one missing is Richard Dixon) want to drag us back to? Typical lazy Hootsmon journalism; regurgitate a lurid press release from a self-appointed, self-interested subsidy junkie pressure group.
8

Charles Linskaill,

On the go, on the mobile 13/10/2008 10:49:44

Soo, most of the above posters, dont want to beleive the article, and rather be in denial of what truley could take place.
Well this is not the case for me, why do you think that I rant on and on, about the madnessess that already take place,here and now, in todays world?
Mark my words, 'Red China' ain't seen nothing yet, we will become worse and we will need,.......

......"Licenses to have Children"!!!
9

Big Eddie,

Edinburgh 13/10/2008 11:24:24
Remember all the predictions about how we were going to live at the end of the 20th century - we were meant to be taking holidays on the moon, weren't we? And where are all our flying cars? Personal robots? Meals in pill form?

I don't have a crystal ball (wish I did!) but I reckon that fifty years from now we'll look back at the way we live today with a sense of incredulity and no small amount of anger. But that's just my own prediction, and we know how accurate they are, don't we?

The Danish physicist Niels Bohr hit the nail on the head: "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future."
10

Big Eddie,

Edinburgh 13/10/2008 11:29:29
PS As far as I'm concerned, anyone who doesn't find the prospect of climate change terrifying needs their head examining.

But that doesn't mean that we ought to make climate denial a crime. The way to deal with crazy deniers is through rational debate, not through legal action. Same with the Holocaust. People who reckon that didn't happen are mad, not criminal. The best thing to do is to expose them as cranks. Laugh at them, not criminalise them.
11

Miss Pixie,

formerly of Dinleyhaughfoot Cottage, Roxburghshire 13/10/2008 11:41:06
Yes. Liscenses to have children would be a great idea if only to make sure people are competent enough to make good parents.

Otherwise; it is not a bad idea to limit the number of babies born to each family if the future really does turn desperate. People who "make a living" from continuously and deliberately having offspring in order to increase their dole payments would be forced find honest work.
12

Geomac 1,

Scotland 13/10/2008 13:20:30
We've had the bursting of the financial bubble - let's hope that it's not too long before we have the bursting of the global warming/climate change bubble!
Ever more unadulterated rubbish is uttered from what seems to be a small coterie of people like McLaren - they seem to be talking to themselves and trying to scare the living daylights out of people on the basis of an unproven theory!

#10 Big Eddie says " PS As far as I'm concerned, anyone who doesn't find the prospect of climate change terrifying needs their head examining."
Sorry Big E, you've got this all wrong!! As long as history has been monitored, the climate has been changing - from extremes of cold (Ice Ages) to extremes of heat (desertification) - long before CO2 was even thought about. Higher levels of CO2 have been measured in the past than those we are measuring now. Measured CO2 levels are increasing but average earth temperatues have stopped increasing over the past 10 years or so. No noticeable unusual changes in sea levels have been measured.
#8 Charles - what do you mean "Soo, most of the above posters, dont want to beleive the article...."?
What in the name of all things sane is there in this article is for real - it's bunch of preposterous navel gazings from a group of ecomentalists - again, theory not fact - and based on what exactly? yet another theory - give me strength!!
13

danbob,

13/10/2008 15:16:07
Argh the world in 2030. Can people remember the BBCs, tomorrows world, in the seventies. If they had been belived we would all be flying around on jet packs. Eating one pill a day instead of food. And living underground. Dont take the word of experts too seriously folks. Remember what expert stands for. Ex = has been. And spirt = a drip under pressure.
14

Unimpressed one,

13/10/2008 16:35:01
"And spirt = a drip under pressure."

Try "spurt" the product of a good 'banker'.
15

Unimpressed one,

13/10/2008 16:50:19
#13, Talking about Tomorrow's World, surely the time is ripe for the BBC to resurrect this programme. Given the amount of new technology and scientific advances that are around, the man in the street needs a good source of information on what's available. Christ if they can broadcast hours of "Today in Parliament" there's surely scope for this! However I suspect there's too many arts ars*es in the BBC for this to see the light of day. And before anyone mentions channel five's "Gadget Show" - that is one piece of pure garbage.
16

Unimpressed one,

13/10/2008 17:03:20
"There are positive aspects to every scenario, such as rolling back globalisation."

Told you McLaren had another agenda.
17

Unimpressed one,

13/10/2008 17:09:39
"However, "free-riders" plunder resources and exploit the vulnerable."

= businesses, who have delivered everything we have in the modern world. This whole piece is such pure fuc*king tripe, the Scotsman should have kept it for April 1st. Don't tell me the people that came up with this drivel are not in padded cells.

































18

The Former Mr. Angry,

Perth 13/10/2008 22:00:21
Peter Mad 'un, the chief executive of Forum for the Future points out several daft scenarios.

Notice how quickly people disengaged from the utter pi$h promoted here such as "climate change denial" and boring old carbon offset tripe when their life savings were seen to be at risk.

The main problems we face are greed, lying politicians, unregulated fat cat rip-off activities and manipulation of markets to suit the few at the expense of the many. Carbon dioxide doesn't get a look-in. The Green agenda is clear - they just want to return to a pre-industrial utopia that does not and cannot exist any more and in their fervent desire to do so are quite willing to make a Crusade out of it and criminalise and punish those who do not agree.

We've been there before and it didn't work out the first time!

As practical example of green thinking I have investigated the possibility of changing to wood pellet heating or air/ground source heat pump alternatives to gas and must reluctantly conclude that a) they are uneconomic through being unfeasibly expensive (never be paid back) b) the people involved don't give a rat's about customer service or responding to enquiries. Just fine if it broke down eh?

Better look out my Wii to get into practice for the cyberspace Olympics...
19

Angus McIonnach,

Embra 15/10/2008 17:13:35
There is one VERY telling feature of these scenarios.

Specifically, 'Golden Age' is a scenario where we solve the problem of carbon emissions without energy becoming more expensive. And this is poo-pooed as a bad thing!

Note well folks: for the Greens 'climate change' is not about climate change per se, but a lever for introducing a golden age of luddite hairshirt authoritarianism where Greens get to ban people from enjoying themselves in ways that Greens don't approve of.

 

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