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Cold blast of winter reality sweeps in

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Published Date: 07 January 2009
RIVERS froze over, schools closed and motorists faced perilous driving conditions yesterday as the big chill hit Scotland.
Temperatures fell to -11C in Aboyne in the early hours, making it colder than the Greenland port of Narsarsuaq (-4C) and the Arctic Norwegian city of Narvik (-5C).

The Met Office issued warnings for Grampian and the Highlands, where rain was expected to fall on frozen surfaces, leading to widespread icy stretches on roads and pavements.

Six primary schools and three nurseries in the Highlands remained closed or partially closed yesterday because of burst pipes or heating problems, while the bad weather also closed Kininmonth School in Aberdeenshire.

Freezing conditions were also causing problems south of the Border with disruption on roads and at schools in England and Wales.

The AA and RAC said the situation was the worst since 2004, with more than 40,000 call-outs in 36 hours. The greatest surges of breakdowns were recorded in the Bristol, Bournemouth, London and Birmingham areas.

A leading pensioners' organisation said that nearly 12 elderly people died every hour last winter and the toll could rise further this year.

The National Pensioners Convention (NPC) called on the government to take immediate action to tackle the rising number of cold-related deaths among older people.

Official government figures showed that there were 25,300 extra deaths from December 2007 to the end of February 2008 – a 7 per cent increase on the previous winter's figure of 23,740.

The NPC said the winter fuel allowance paid by the government to the over-sixties should be raised to £500 for every household.

Pensioners can currently apply for payments of between £125 and £400 depending on their age and income.

Joe Harris, the NPC general secretary, said: "Since 1997, we have lost over 260,000 pensioners during the winter months because of cold-related illnesses, yet the government seems incapable of acting.

"No other section of our society is so vulnerable and treated so badly.

"Pensioners see rising fuel bills and are constantly worried about whether or not they can afford to put their heating on."

The Met Office, which is predicting a continuation of overnight frosts and low daytime temperatures, says that millions of people across the UK are likely to receive additional help with fuel bills.

It says it is working closely with the Department for Work and Pensions to ensure vulnerable people are given support during the cold snap.

As of Monday, cold weather payments have been triggered at 48 of the country's 76 weather stations.

The payments will be made in London for the first time in a decade. They are triggered when the average temperature in an area falls to zero or below for seven consecutive days.

Meanwhile, bookmaker William Hill has quoted odds of 33/1 that the London Eye fails to turn due to being frozen; 100/1 that Tower Bridge is unable to lift; and has cut the odds of skating on the Serpentine from 33/1 to 4/1.

It is also offering 10/1 that the lowest recorded temperature in England will be beaten (-26.1C in Shropshire on 10 January, 1982) and 16/1 that the lowest temperature in Scotland will be beaten (-27.2C in Aberdeenshire, also on 10 January, 1982).

There are also odds of 100/1 that Big Ben fails to chime due to being frozen solid, or 500/1 that Loch Ness freezes.


Bit of a blow as '194mph gust' fails to make the record books

A GUST of wind that hit the Highlands could have been a record-breaker – if only someone had kept the evidence.

A member of a ski patrol on Cairn Gorm spotted a reading of 194mph on an anemometer positioned at the mouth of the upper mountain railway tunnel, which leads to the Ptarmigan Restaurant, on 19 December.

However, no written record of the wind speed was taken and it has since been deleted from the recording equipment.

Had it been verified, the wind speed would have been the highest ever recorded in the British Isles. It would have beaten the existing record – also held by Cairn Gorm – by some 22mph. An icy gust of 172mph hit the summit on 20 March, 1986.

Tania Alliod, the marketing manager of CairnGorm Mountain Ltd, said: "A gust of 194mph is a really big one.

"The previous record at Cairn Gorm was 172mph, so that is significantly higher.

"We are being cautious about the recording and will be speaking to the Met Office in the future."

But even if evidence of the 194mph gust did survive, it may still not be officially recognised as a record it was not on Met Office equipment.

That organisation keeps the UK's official weather records and the equipment it uses is to an internationally recognised standard overseen by the World Meteorological Organisation.

A spokesman said: "Essentially, it means the equipment around the country and in other parts of the world are all in unison, so there is a level playing field where the information is coming from.

"The Met Office is the UK weather service provider and all equipment we use is standardised.

"Unless we can verify the equipment, we cannot use it for official figures – not just for wind, but for temperatures or for anything else.

"They may well have had that figure (at Cairn Gorm] but we have not had it passed on to us anyway."

The Met Office anemometer – a device used for measuring wind speed – positioned further up Cairn Gorm, recorded a peak wind speed of 138mph – on the same day the 194mph was reported.

It was not even the highest wind speed recorded this winter in Britain. That was the 143mph that was logged on 21 December at Cairnwell in Glenshee, about 20 miles to the south.

However, the UK record – and even the unofficial 194mph wind speed – still falls well short of the world record. That was set on Mount Washington in New Hampshire in the United States on 12 April, 1934 – a wind speed of just over 230mph was recorded.

The full article contains 1022 words and appears in The Scotsman newspaper.
Page 1 of 1

  • Last Updated: 06 January 2009 11:15 PM
  • Source: The Scotsman
  • Location: Edinburgh
  • Related Topics: Weather
 
1

Fifi la Bonbon,

07/01/2009 00:42:03
You said "pensioners can currently apply for payments of between £125 and £400 depending on their age and income." That's incorrect, as regards winter fuel allowances. People are sent the payments automatically and most received theirs in November. It's also incorrect as regards cold weather payments. Staff at DWP work hard to make sure that everyone gets the right payment on time.
2

FerryPort,

07/01/2009 01:47:26
I'm a bit chilly in my cottage but not as half mental as I would be if in Gaza
Let's give the people of Gaza a place on our "International" national forefront newspaper.
3

COLINTON.MAINS,

Oakville Ontario 07/01/2009 02:16:57
CANADIAN.PRAIRIES..FOR.WEEKS.50.BELOW.DEADLY.COLD
4

LibbyLunk,

Alberta, Canada 07/01/2009 04:25:24
No 3...Completely right, we've had some bitter weather this winter. Almost feels warm enough for t-shirts when we are sitting at -11!!
5

drunken proffet,

Tassy 07/01/2009 05:24:23
Ach, you guys are soft. Back in, I seem to remember, 1982 it got down to minus 27C. Now that is cold but it did not affect me one iota. I was in Australia at the time.
6

John Cameron,

St Andrews 07/01/2009 08:19:38
What happened to the Global Warming promised us by that great scientist Forest Gore and his noble band of defunct pop singers? Perhaps if we all make a late New Year's resolution to do more driving and flying we can raise the national temperature.
7

Sgritheall,

Switzerland 07/01/2009 09:19:57
The caveman new the end of the world was nigh when he saw the northern light. Armaggedon would surely come in the year 1000 AD, when a comet appeared, when a volcano erupted, or something else of that kind. Each age has its end of the world scenario. We are a bit more sophisticated than the caveman. We have global warming.
8

,

07/01/2009 09:20:26
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
9

Douglas,

Bathgate 07/01/2009 09:21:36
It's an outrage! Temperatures in Scotland fall below zero in winter. These politicians have a lot to answer for.
Zimbabwe doesn't bother with niceties like democracy and they're always warm. A lesson for us all I think.
10

sicasapig,

07/01/2009 10:16:00
**6** global warming does not mean its going to get warmer,it
means climate change and severe weather changes,you have a computer try using it to learn not just to make stupid statements
11

11+failed,

The pans 07/01/2009 10:24:26
10 sicasapig
With 10 years of down trending global temperatures we need to change the story. If the temperature is a bit high it is "global warming" if a bit lower it is "weather". When really stuck claim the lower temperatures are caused by ....GLOBAL WARMING. All quite logical really!
12

The wilkman,

Isle of Skye 07/01/2009 10:25:24
6
John Cameron,
St Andrews 07/01/2009 08:19:38
What happened to the Global Warming promised us .........

Eh, did you read the article? It mentions :
"""" .... Greenland port of Narsarsuaq (-4C) and the Arctic Norwegian city of Narvik (-5C)."""" These are unseasonably warm.

And, GLOBAL warming is about global averages. Not to mention that the scientists are never done pointing out that ten year periods are on the short side for determining what the main trend in average global temperatures is.

Live long enough, and then crow (if you rather than Gore turns out to have been right, which I think is not that likely).
13

sceptic,

livingston 07/01/2009 10:35:38
#10
When I was a boy it was all down to these atomic bomb tests.
14

E300,

07/01/2009 10:49:43
#12 The wilkman
"And, GLOBAL warming is about global averages."
Yep! Global average temperature 1998 - 14.55°C and 2008 -14.3°C
15

seanie,

07/01/2009 11:36:21
http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/info/warming/gtc2007.csv

The average temperature for 1990-1999 was 0.237 above the mean.

The average temperature for 2000-2007 was 0.41 above the mean.
16

seanie,

07/01/2009 11:36:51
The average for 1988-1997 was 0.185 degrees above the mean.

The average for 1998-2007 was 0.421 degrees above the mean.
17

seanie,

07/01/2009 11:41:55
How about five year averages over the last 40 years?

How do they compare to the 1961-90 mean?

1968-1972: - 0.097
1973-1977: - 0.108
1978-1982: + 0.039
1983-1987: + 0.065
1988-1992: + 0.162
1993-1997: + 0.208
1998-2002: + 0.397
2003-2007: + 0.445

18

,

07/01/2009 12:43:01
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
19

seanie,

07/01/2009 12:58:12
http://www.yaleclimatemediaforum.org/2008/04/common-climate-misconceptions-global-temperature-records/

"Four different groups produce temperature records that attempt to compile a single global mean surface temperature: NASA’s GISStemp, the Hadley Center’s HadCRU, Remote Sensing Systems’ RSS, and the University of Alabama, Huntsville’s UAH."

"Despite differences in calculation criteria and a host of technical problems that have plagued the satellite-based records in the past, all four temperature records now show a remarkable degree of agreement. No single temperature record exhibits a significant or consistent warming bias relative to the others."

"...all four temperature series align remarkably well when normalized on the same baseline period. GISS and HadCRU both show a warming trend of 0.16 degrees C per decade from 1979 to February 2008. RSS shows a warming trend of 0.18 per decade over the same period, while UAH shows a warming trend of 0.14."
20

seanie,

07/01/2009 13:01:39
The NASA/GISS data for global temperatures;

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt

The ten hottest years worldwide since 1880 were in descending order:

2005, 2007, 1998, 2002, 2003, 2006, 2004, 2001, 1997, 1995.

Although it looks like 2008 will push out 1995.
21

Donnie Murdo,

Western Isles 07/01/2009 14:03:06
Wonder what the mean temp is between 2000 and 2200 and what the hottest years are.

Hmmm...
22

seanie,

07/01/2009 14:11:53
The Hadcru dataset;

http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/hadcrut3gl.txt

The ten hottest years worldwide since 1850 were in descending order:

1998, 2005, 2003, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2001, 2007, 1997, 1995.

The NASA/GISS data for global temperatures;

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt

The ten hottest years worldwide since 1880 were in descending order:

2005, 2007, 1998, 2002, 2003, 2006, 2004, 2001, 1997, 1999.

Although it looks like 2008 will push out 1999.


23

seanie,

07/01/2009 14:14:22
I'll try again.

The Hadcru dataset;

http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/hadcrut3gl.txt

The ten hottest years worldwide since 1850 were in descending order:

1998, 2005, 2003, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2001, 2007, 1997, 1999.

Although it looks like 2008 will push out 1999.
24

Donnie Murdo,

Western Isles 07/01/2009 14:21:25
Wonder what the mean temp is between 2000 and 2200 and what the hottest years are.

Hmmm...
25

seanie,

07/01/2009 14:40:15
You'll be waiting a while if you want to find out what the mean temp is between 2000 and 2200 and what the hottest years are.
26

Donnie Murdo,

Western Isles 07/01/2009 14:42:03
You mean the future can't be predicted?
27

Donnie Murdo,

Western Isles 07/01/2009 14:42:32
Or measured?
28

seanie,

07/01/2009 14:46:33
Measured? Not at all.

Predicted. Of course it can.

Although the degree of accuracy varies.
29

Donnie Murdo,

Western Isles 07/01/2009 14:52:05
Oh well, that's fine then. Since the future cannot be measured nor predicted to any guaranteed accurracy, we have nothing to worry about.

Time to run the heating up me thinks.
30

seanie,

07/01/2009 14:55:41
Yep.

And it's also fine to cross the road without looking.

I mean, since the future can't be predicted to any guaranteed accuracy what would be the point?
31

Upbeat,

07/01/2009 14:58:52
Meanwhile just 150 miles east of Dover the temperature in southern Holland went down to - 20 degrees.last night ..a new all time record in that region in January. They have 12-20 cm of hard packed snow on many roads,which fell too fast to be cleared before it froze solid. Now there is the prospect of rain falling on this overnight in the near future. But Dutch people know how to adapt without fuss.

Do we hear anything on the British news about the realities of this winter in NW europe, now into its second week of deep freeze and heavy snowfalls ? No of course not. Its always "worse" here when we have an average 4 deg of frost and a light sprinkling of snow. Schools close, transport and commuters face chaos, climbers get lost and water pipes freeze. Meanwhile All around the nation we wring our hands at the plight of pensioners...till the wind blows from the west once more and we forget to do any remedial work at all to prepare of the next cold snap !
32

Donnie Murdo,

Western Isles 07/01/2009 14:59:40
Exactly, so relax and enjoy your time on Earth until such times as you choose not to look as you cross the road or are abducted by probing aliens.
33

drew 33,

duddingston 07/01/2009 15:15:35
25 seanie
Seems you can't see the wood for the trees or should that be tree rings? You are buried in statistical minutiae.
Global cooling occurred from 1880 to ~1915; global warming occurred from ~1915 to ~1945; global cooling occurred from ~1945-1977;, global warming occurred from 1977 to 1998; and global cooling has occurred since 1998. As has been noted by others the the global mean temperature has fallen 0.255°C in the past 10 years.
I presume you are quoting Hadley here "Although it looks like 2008 will push out 1995" the same foolish people who forecast that 2007 would be warmer than 1998. I should further draw your attention to the dis-credited IPCC who from the even more dis-credited "hockey stick" forecast that the global mean temperature in 2008 would be 14.8°C while the actual was 14.3°C.
34

seanie,

07/01/2009 16:56:18
Look at those five year average anomalies again.

1968-1972: - 0.097
1973-1977: - 0.108
1978-1982: + 0.039
1983-1987: + 0.065
1988-1992: + 0.162
1993-1997: + 0.208
1998-2002: + 0.397
2003-2007: + 0.445

Spot a trend?
35

seanie,

07/01/2009 17:00:17
And if you don't like Mann's 'Hockeystick' there's plenty of others to choose from.

It's been replicated numerous times.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:1000_Year_Temperature_Comparison.png
36

Alternative (High-Octane) Fuel Head,

Edinburgh 07/01/2009 17:48:17
I see that Mr Copy-Paste Wind-up Merchant is back on line again.... (sigh!)

I was only going to say---"It's Scotland. It's Winter. It's cold.... So what?" That is, until someone turned the thread towards the usual ridiculous "climate change" subject again.

37

A.A.,

03/02/2009 13:40:26
"Pensioners see rising fuel bills and are constantly worried about whether or not they can afford to put their heating on."

It's not only pensioners who are worried about it. People on low incomes/benefits are struggling as well!
As for climate change...there must be something to it as we used to have much worse winters. We hardly ever get snow now.
38

A.A.,

03/02/2009 13:43:13
#18
I think it's 7 consecutive days.

 

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