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Quote: Six steps to a smaller carbon footprint......how about we kick out labour........go for independence.........boot out trident.........extract ourselves from any obligation to the EU...........and with the huge amount of money saved..........invest in Scotland and its people and buy back our utility companies :)
#1 Scott. That all sounds like an excellent way to go mate.
Cheez you cannot do that. Solutions to problems of this type should be carefully prepared by various scientific organisations, implemented through the application of hundreds of millions of pounds in investment, and appreciated by our voters by re-electing those politicians who thought up the idea in the first place. What are you trying to do? Destroy our way of life.
Does anyone else smell something funny about all this stuff, and I am not talking about cattle flatulence, although it may smell similar!Why is everything so apocalyptical now, is consensus science really science, I watched the ITN evening news this week from Antartica, it was called the "big melt" by friday the presenters were frothing at the mouth and verging on hysteria, they had a live phone in and a women from east anglia who had obviously been terrified into phoning the science guru, Lawrence McGinty, asked in a nervous voice "how much is the sea level expected to rise and how long will it take, to which the guru replied, 100 metres by the end of this century,- stunned silence as the women decided whether to head for the hills or start work on her Ark, she thanked him for that and was promptly replaced with a teacher with some other question, once it cut back to the main presenter who had clearly found the gurus gaff funny, he had to correct him and let everyone know that it was 100cm's and not 100 metres, more like an episode of the Simpsons than a serious news program.
#1 #2 You two will turn any discussion into an SNP platform. I see the Chinese have shot down a communication satellite, let us see what you can do with that info?
"The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed — and hence clamorous to be led to safety — by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary"(H.L. Mencken)The politicians, all jumping on the Green bandwagon, have found a way to raise more revenue by simply scaring us into believing that they have our best interests at heart. I would have more faith in their policies if they talked more of revenue neutral rather than carbon neutral.We have become entranced by the green lobby, who have succeeded in the policy of he who shouts loudest is heard most. There is NOT a concensus amongst the scientific community on global warming, whatever the publicity might suggest. The populist views of the climate change lobby is a means to secure funding for projects that suit the treasuries of whichever country they answer to.While environmental policies are laudable in their aim, their implementation leaves something to be desired. Guess what, we got snow.
1) Methane gas is lighter than carbon dioxide and is therefore just as damaging to the ozone layer.
2) Each cow produces more than 10 litres of methane gas daily.
3) There is more than one billion cows on the planet - thats around 200 cows to every Scot! So the cows are producing around 10 billion litres of methane DAILY!
Maybe someone out there can explain how to solve this problem.
BTWEach year around 5 million new cars take to the road in China - thats one car for every Scot.
4. The ITV news effort was a splendid tour de farce.
They did a similar stunt last year in the Arctic and produced a guy they called the "Arctic Warrior" who was going to drill through the ice with an auger and report back to NASA on the thickness of the ice sheet. He didn't get very far and they don't mention him now and I haven't seen him on the NASA web site for some reason.
This time they had a so-called scientist "Andy of the Antarctic" who on arrival on the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, (WAIS), the only part of the continent where there has been some warming over the last fifty years, declared he could already see the evidence it was melting because he had found some cracks, "only a few millimetres now but could be the start of another ice shelf collapse". The funny bit was when some ice fell into the sea behind Mark Austen and he was visibly shocked, saying "You can see it all around you, it's happening before our eyes.
The common factor to both these reports was that they went in the height of summer for the respective poles, when the ice melts anyway and it's guaranteed you will see some ice berg calving, as happened for millennia.
Antarctic: Total sq. km. 14,000,000 (8.7m sq miles), area lost in 50 years: 8000 sq km from WAIS (4972 sq miles), which is 0.057% in 50 years. This is equal to 160 sq.km./year (99 sq miles). A simplistic projection shows it would take 87,500 years for the ice pack to melt. Which of course is not next week. Warmest temperature (in their summer) was in 1974 on the Antarctic Peninsula, the bit that sticks up towards S. America, when it reached 15C. Mean Temps: Winter: -40 to -94°F (-40 to -70°C) Summer: -5 to -31°F (-15 to -35°C). A bit cold.
The East Antarctic is actually gaining mass by about 45-50 billions tonnes of ice per year, which of course was not mentioned. It was in fact a publicity exercise by the British Antarctic Survey, who have an annual budget of £4
Since when did trees damage the environment? This point is wildly and mischievously thrown in without any support. We need and depend on the trees and the plankton in order to maintain the eco-balance and while I can see how intensive farming of palm oil trees may ruin the ecomomy of some regions there is no evidence that trees destroy the environment - only bad farming practices where too many crops are put into one area. There is no argument for de-forestation and no sustainable argument against re-forestation except the one that the large corporations put forth to protect their economic empire. There is a good argument however for re-forestation.
I have been working on a project across the UK for several years, and my company has developed a mode of transportation that can utilise the canal systems. For example in Edinburgh. We developed a scheme that would remove 1.2 million car trips off the road over one year, it would of removed 750,000 miles of HGV & white van traffic off the roads, and we could of removed all waste via the canal system. We spent several months proving that it was actually quicker using the canal system than conventional roads. Our vessels are very 21st century in design they are propelled via Solar & LPD hybrid engines at speeds up to 25 mph they create minimal emissions and very low noise levels. We put the scheme to Transport Minister via civil servants, Edinburgh Transport & British waterways. We are still waiting to hear back from the Minister & Edinburgh Transport, but British Waterways Scotland said it would have a adverse effect on tourism!!IN THE LAST 8 MONTHS A AVERAGE OF 2.5 BARGES A DAY USE THE CANAL BETWEEN HERMISTON & EDINBURGH QUAYS. IT COST THE TAX PAYER £74 MILLION TO RE-OPEN THE UNION CANAL. WE GAVE UP WITH SCOTLAND, WE ARE NOW PUTTING A SIMILAR PROJECT IN BIRMINGHAM, MANCHESTER & LONDON.
EVERYONE WANTS TO BE GREEN UNTIL YOU PUT THEM ON THE LINE.
I agree with cfutting back on fossil fuels, going green wherever possible etc etc .....
But I also believe the planet is going through one of its epochal phases where it tries to get rid of the lice (most lifeforms) infesting it!
Interesting times indeed!
[8] W Smith: 1 billion cows. Maybe someone out there can explain how to solve this problem.
We could try eating them.
[9] Harbinger: The East Antarctic is actually gaining mass by about 45-50 billions tonnes of ice per year, which of course was not mentioned...
Mention it at your peril now. It's of course incongruent with the need to keep up the mass hysteria. In fact I'm surprised the green SS havn't had your post consigned to the bit bucket already.
How sad that this opportunity for sensible comment is so often hijacked by the ignorant, or perhaps they are professional, doubt-sowers.
I prefer to believe the conclusions of the UN, the EU, the UK Government Chief Scientist and the rest of the world's serious scientistific community about the seriousness of climate change.
We should be focused on the serious debate about how to tackle this challenge for the sake of our children, not wading through drivel and spam.
Bring back censorship before this forum is no longer looked at by anyone with intelligence.
The petty politicking and downright ignorance of some of the previous commentators flabbergasts me. The majority obviously don't have a clue about the science far less the consensus that actually exists on man-made global warming and climate change but they still feel qualified to talk about it. At least the original article is fairly well balanced and offers some sort of hope that we can do something. I am heartened by the minority of sensible suggestions and supportive comments above but am equally alarmed by the idiots who continue to rant and slather.Man made climate change is real; it threatens us, our way of life and our entire global ecosystem; but we have the ability to do something about it. Everything else is distraction, some based on ignorance, personal prejudice or crackpots wanting to hear their own voice and some more dangerously based on vested interests such as big oil.And, YES, politicians will take advantage, as they always have. So what. This doesn’t alter reality.
*14 There’s always one and today it’s you. Well done.
All this stuff about cutting down on the way we use "spaceship Earth's resources is commendable and I try to do my bit as well, but maybe we are missing the root cause of the problem - there are just to many of the species "homo sapiens" around. Anyone like to extend the discussion in this direction?
Toxicfish(17)
I myself am still far from convinced that 'global warming' is, quoted by some to be 'by far and away the biggest threat to us all'.
I'm ALL for redcucing our carbon emissions, recycling and developing more energy-efficient products and services, it's for sure the way to go.
But almost all of us living on Earth here in the 21st century seem to forget that this planet we live on has been through many a climate change throughout it's 4.5 billion year existence.
The western world has only really been industrialised for the last, say 200 years(and obviously the most in the last 100 years)
Now i'm not saying all this has not had an impact on the planet's atmosphere etc but to say it's changing our entire climate I think is something that cannot be proven 100%.
I think we just may be seeing a natural shift in the world's climate as it continues it's long journey through the universe..
Must we be subjected to the nonsense of a "scientific concensus" on climate change?
In 1988 the United Nations established the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The Panel has issued three Assessment Reports, in 1990, 1996 and 2001, hefty collections of scientific papers by individual researchers with a variety of opinions. With the Assessment Reports the IPCC typically issues a "Summary For Policy Makers" (SPM) for the media and policy makers. Unfortunately, these contain very little science, are compiled largely by UN bureaucrats and political representatives and do not convey the lack of consensus on science questions that often exist. The net result is that politicians and the media ignore the scientific panel reports (which are confusing to them) and read only the politically biased SPMs.
This is how the politicians on the IPCC are going to save the planet this year.IPCC meetings in 2007
16-18 January , Qatar 22-24 January Switzerland 29 Jan - 1 Feb France 12 – 16 Feb India 2 - 5 April Belgium 30 April - 3 May Thailand 4 May Thailand 30 July – 2 Aug USA 18-20 Sept TheNetherlands 9 - 10 Nov Spain 12 – 16 Nov Spain
Going over wholly to nuclear & hydro for power & using off peak nuclear to make hydrogen or methane would cut more carbon than all these politically correct things combined.
If the Greens really believed in catastrophic warming they would be campaigning for nuclear. To be fair a couple of them do.
Give us all night vision glasses then we can all be in our houses at night in the dark. Also no TV available after midnight. And of course no holidaysthat involve any form of travelling. Problem solved. Leave normal living to the Chinese etc.
If the govt was serious about it's environmental policy here are 6 things they could do to make a difference:
1. Ban all plastics bags and bottles that are not bio-degradable.2. Force shops to use paper bags and better still customers to use their shopping bags (like we used to do).3. Get rid of disposable nappies (why not make them bio-degradable?).4. Don't cover vegetables in cling film or plastic boxes, use paper bags if you have to use anything.5. Make manufacturers respoonsible for the whole life manage,ment of goods they produce i.e. diposal of fridges, kettles, cars, PCs etc.6. Get serious about geo-thermal heating and other new building heating and insulation projects.
#17 I guess a "toxicfish" will swallow any rubbish without critical examination!
The UN proved that man–made CO2 causes global warming. FACT: In a 1996 report by the UN on global warming, two statements were deleted from the final draft. Here they are: 1) “None of the studies cited above has shown clear evidence that we can attribute the observed climate changes to increases in greenhouse gases.”2) “No study to date has positively attributed all or part of the climate change to man–made causes”To the present day there is still no scientific proof that man-made CO2 causes significant global warming.
dumping a working fridge 5 years or 20 years ealry for a "more efficient"one ignores the vast amount of energy used in makeig the new one
Thanks to all the educated Scots who can see through the global warming hysteria!
I was at one time one of the great trembling masses, frightened that the end of the world was near as the earth turned into a huge fireball thanks to global warming.
But then I started reading--and not media publications, written by reporters with the IQ of house plants and an odd inability to question the motives and practices of Al Gore and other environmental fearmongers.
I started reading scientific tracts, written by climatologists, and discovered that the global warming scare is just that--a scare. The climate warmed a whopping 0.6 degrees C in the past 100 years. Note several important points about this basic fact:
1. More than half of that came before 1945, when CO2 emissions were much lower than today.
2. That warming trend has been uneven, with much of the Southern Hemisphere and parts of Antarctica NOT warming at all.
3. This warming trend can be partly--or possibly entirely explained--as the pendulum swing coming out of the "little-ice-age" which lasted from about 1650 to 1850.
4. NO significant changes in Antarctic sea ice coverage has been witnessed since 1978, when reliable satellite measurements began.
5. No systematic changes in the frequency of tornadoes, thunder days, or hail events are evident in the areas analysed.
The early is an amazingly complex thing, and we have very little understanding still about the processes that drive it. The earth's climate has always changed, and always will. What drives those changes is most likely things like solar activity and natural occurring phenomena rather than human CO2 production.
By all means, try to cut down pollution, don't waste, recycle, and be as friendly to the earth as possible. But we don't need scare tactics based on evidence that is hardly understood and often misconstrued to make us do this.
Honesty is still the best policy.
#5 Old Roy. Keep up old man. That was yesterday's news, and was commented upon yesterday.
It must be difficult, being marooned on the Black Isle.
#16. Exactly the answer we'd expect: "Bring back censorship before this forum is no longer looked at by anyone with intelligence." Anybody who disagrees with you should be censored. That's probably why you don't hear more dissenting views on global warming. Media censorship is just as dangerous as government censorship.
#17. Gotta love your comments. Anyone who disagrees with you is an idiot, and somehow you are qualified to state unequivocally: "Man made climate change is real; it threatens us, our way of life and our entire global ecosystem." Sorry, just because you say it doesn't make it so.
#23: I'm with you, Jennifer. They're dim as a Labour politician, and don't last as long as they say they will (probably also like a Labour politician).
Great discussion, guys!
MIKE 30 A very good summation. It is a pity that our media are, if anything, even less to be trusted on this & some other subjects than yours.
There would be nowhere to find these things if Al Gore hadn't invented the internet for us:-)
#34 Nice one mk.
TB likes to talk the talk to further his own damaged legacy, but unfortunately is trying to take the high moral ground without coming up with clear and consise policies.You're right we need to convince the 6 you refer to, maybe by example is one of the ways we can lead on this issue??
Mike J #31...Brilliant and right on! You may have already read some of these, but if not, you might check out : http://www.crichton-official.com/speeches/index.html
The history of man includes many periods where the masses believed what ever the Uppy-Ups said, and the Uppy-Ups said you must appease this God or that God with some sort of sacrifice or something. Today's Godless masses (liberals) are being told that THEY are all little Gods... but they have screwed up. They have damaged the environment! Therefore, it's time for them to get on their knees and pray to the almighty Environment God and ask for forgiveness. And...they must sacrifice their strong economy for the errors of their ways. Then, they can use all their free time to run dancing into the fields with arms raised and give thanks the Environment God...and (of course) the Uppy-Ups for their safety. Afterward however, they should hurry and get back in line with their cup.
The briliant Mke J is #30...and he is still right on!
Since they recommend you don't fly for a holiday say to Algarve.Will the same recommendation apply to tourists flying in to spend money in Scotland?
Comment@5 Old Roy, I'll take that bet.........An Independent Scotland who is against the folly of Trident and already has a Chinese embassy in Edinburgh......would be seen as less of a threat to the Chinese and their trigger happy issues against satellites :)
Basically all the posts on this topic this time are of a similar type to those in the topic from 17th January , and also from the week before.
Until more of you take the time to really...and I mean really... go into this subject by studying in huge detail the scientific evidence, the accurate measurements and the correlations between differing effects and things that might have been the cause of them, the continual repetition of personal opinion by conspiracy theorists, along with the blinkered assurance of the " Live today for tomorrow we all die" brigade , and the nihilism of those that believe that the earth and its climate is somehow immune from any man-made influence, simply reveal that this type of comment column is a p[assive and fruitless exercise.
How any person can seriously conclude that the burning of a huge percentage of the worlds fossil fuel resources within 175 years, the quadrupling the worlds population in less than 150 years, the concreting over of a global area equivalent to the size of many medium sized countries within the last 100 years and the Halving of the area of natural rain forest around the world in the last 50 years can have absolutely no lasting effect is beyond sanity.
The writing is in the hundreds of scientific papers on the subject...many of which can be accessed ...as I have said before...by anyone with the time and internet access.
This is not rocket science here...it is scientific evidence that something measureable has really begun to signal and support those global climate trends that cause concern. In just the same way that switching on your car engine in your garage with the door shut will sooner or later kill anyone that stands around in there...I personally believe that the sensible thing to do in the face of mounting proof of damage is to accelerate research to provide a clear technological alternative , another way of arranging our lifestyles on a global scale, It is
I see where the ice in the northern hemisphere is decreasing however the ice in the souther hemisphere is increasing.Think about it, more people die from the cold in Scotland than from the heat.
Thanks td for all that stuff about evidence. I assume this means you have actually found some evidence that the world's rivers are rapidly silting up because of global warming as you previously assured us :-)
Rules can add that little piece of nonsense to his list. Presumably, if he thinks people contribute here only because their employers say so he is telling us he is being lucratively funded by the same windfarm consortium that recently gave £250,000 to Bliar.
Money talks and bulls*** walks, the scientists spouting this global warming garbage are living quite nicely thank you on generous government grants. Why should they bite the hand that feeds them?
Neil , Once again you are trying to tell others by the tone of your post that I have claimed an opinion about something untrue . ( BTW. You will seldom find any of my opinions in any posts I ever make.)..I am always very careful not to 'go there'.
What I regularly do, and will continue to do, is attempt to raise the level of a discussion by drawing attention to evidence or scientific papers which reveal current issues around the world which are of concern to scientists. You might find this paper will set out for you the scientific discussion we hinted at last week, and the reality of the concerns about how levels of river silt and global climate may be linked. Things that you - in your evident ignorance - continue to ignore.
http://www.ozestuaries.org/oracle/ozestuaries/indicators/...
You could of course have found this on Google yourself had you bothered. Just another " Inconvenient truth ".... ?
Two questions for Greens.
1. CO2 is bad, right?
Please explain the following.
Estimated annual worldwide natural (non-man made) CO2 emissions are around 180 billion tonnes, +/- 10%. Estimated worldwide man made CO2 emissions are 7.2 billion tonnes. CO2 is CO2, however produced.
Man made CO2 is less than 5% of natural CO2, and lost in the annual ups and downs of natural emissions.
2. If man made CO2 disappeared tomorrow, what difference would it make?
# 47
The point is not really a study of how the CO2 got into the atmosphere, it is far more concerned tthat world wide concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere are increasing at ever quickening rates. As you will know CO2 is one of the so called ' greenhouse gases' that forms a blanket around the planet. Scientists have proved that this blanket has a major role to play in the reduction of radiation from outer space. As the blanket has got thicker radiation getting through to the earth's surface has altered and that radiation which used to " bounce" back into space is being blocked along with heat from the surface. A resuklt of this is that at higher levels within the atmosphere tests have shown that the outer atnmosphere is in fact cooling. This cooler level is claimed to be responsible for changing the wavelength of the radiation that is getting through to the surface of the planet. This in itself is claimed to be a further cause of damage the ecology of the planet.
Back to the question about CO2. Because roughly 20 % of the huge areas of rain forest around the world that existed in 1940 has now been cleared, the vegetation no longer exists in the form of trees etc to convert CO2 back to oxygen, and to capture free carbon from the atmosphere and " lock it down" as timber etc. . In other parts of the world development has led to clearing of vegetation and its replacement with concrete. Overall there is now less world vegetation to absorb the CO2, and other types of green house gas at the very moment in history when mankind's activities are releasing ever increasing quantities of these damaging gases.
As the world warms there is a danger that permafrost areas will melt. These tundra zones contain a huge historical store of CO2. It has been suggested that should this meltdown result in the release of yet more CO2 the whole acceleration in atmospheric CO2 might become unstoppable.
The opther worrying
Evenin’ all.
Thanks to #16 teskey, #17toxicfish, #6, #12, #38, #44 rulesbutnotrulers and td #41 and a few others, for trying to stem the tide of paranoia, ignorance and perceived self-interest (not to mention the usual misrepresentations and misquotations from Neil) that (dis)grace these threads.
Mike J #30 seems to have received some adulation from the climate change denial battalion, so lets have a look at what he said:
He starts with a “Thanks to all the educated Scots”. Nothing like a bit of flattery, particularly if laced with nationalism, to get you off on a good footing. Good thinking Mike J! No semi-educated dimwit from the best wee country in the world could fail to swallow what follows, however idiotic it is.
He admits that he was once part of the “great trembling masses” who thought the world was about to turn into a “huge fireball”. Yes. Well, what more can I say. If he admits to being an idiot in his second paragraph then perhaps we should just leave it there. But I struggle on.
His third and fourth paragraphs claim that he’s been “reading” “scientific tracts” written by “climatologists”. Golly!
OK, Mike J, he’s a challenge for you: Name six climatologists who DENY that anthropogenic climate change is a) real, b) damaging and c) potentially catastrophic. Oh, OK, it’s Sunday evening (at least in the best wee country in the world), so, name just three then, so we know who you are talking about. Alright, dammit, name just one climatologist, just one, give us a paper that is peer reviewed, that is respected, that tells is that all this concern is unwarranted. Just one, Mike, please. Just one.
As for your 5 points:1. You can find the graph of global temperature change on the “climatic research unit” (UK) web-site under “Global temperature record”. You will see that temperature has increased by about 0.6C since about 1950. So, there were other factors responsible for the increase in temperature in the ear
with some catastrophic declines due to environmental, including climatic, changes. The predictions are that we are now on the threshold of vastly greater climatic change than we have experienced in all of that time.
Carbon dioxide levels have indeed changed for various reasons, human and otherwise, just as they have throughout geologic time. Since the beginning of the industrial revolution, the CO2 content of the atmosphere has increased. In addition, the rate of increase of CO2 in the atmosphere during this period has also increased from about 0.2% per year to the present rate of about 0.4% per year,which has been constant for the past 25 years. However, there is no proof that CO2 is the main driver of global warming. As measured in ice cores dated over many thousands of years, CO2 levels move up and down AFTER the temperature has done so, and thus are the RESULT OF, NOT THE CAUSE of warming. Geological field work in recent sediments confirms this causal relationship. There is solid evidence that, as temperatures move up and down naturally and cyclically through solar radiation, orbital and galactic influences, the warming surface layers of the earth's oceans expel more CO2 as a result.
It's the way they are clearly trying to terrorise the population that concerns me and the possible collapse of the tourist industry because of it, how many millions of jobs will be lost?How long before these people decide that the only way to stop this is to exterminate half the worlds population, the ultimate carbon footprint reduction method.And why would anyone want to holiday in this country when the Algarve has things like sunshine and fun and we have portobello and misery, nothing wrong with portobello but you know what I mean, lol
Don't think too many CO2's will be hanging above the UK after the 99 mph winds this week.
Seems Slioch that you accept uncritically the IPCC political output and its dis-credited so called "peer reviewing". You also seem to accept their flawed "hockey stick" which has been shown to be based wrong data.The Intergovernmental Panel (IPCC) with its Summary for Policymakers (SPM) is often quoted as an authoritative source on climate change. However, many climatologists, including scientists working on the IPCC, disagree strongly with some of the conclusions issued in the SPM. It is evident that the SPM information is often political in content. The widely distributed and referenced SPM was compiled by UN bureaucrats that fails to convey the uncertainty of climate change forecasts of the panel scientists.
Hey Sambo the 99mph winds are caused because of it !
Re the article's comment about being "caught short" running on LPG, you won't be stuck. Your car will automatically revert to your petrol tank if the LPG does run out. You get an additional tank which effectively creates a dual fuel car when you convert to LPG. There's now a good network of garages selling LPG, so it's less likely you'll run short. There's lots of info on this at www.fuelture.co.uk.
Thank you Teskey, td, rulesbutnotrulers, Slioch and a few others for adding some gravitas and not a little dry humour to this obviously polarised debate. I don't think any of us have all the answers or can individually understand the complexity of climate change, natural and man-made. There are an incredible number of natural variables and viewpoints. We can only base our beliefs on a balance of available evidence.
The evidence I have seen makes me believe that humanity has and is causing a dangerous addition to natural climate change. c.10k years of a basic atmospheric equilibrium (Krakatoa and other volcanic bangs excepted) is changing rapidly and I conclude that our industrial heritage and continued reliance on fossil fuels is the cause. Carbon locked up in these fossil fuels over 100s of millions of years is being released in the space of a few centuries. Apart from the scientific evidence (and I acknowledge that some of you don’t believe it -I know, it’s difficult), even that fact alone suggests that it must be having an effect somewhere, some-how, some-when.
In my previous posting this morning (Stirling time) I acknowledged that politicians will take advantage of this situation but so will wind-farmers, supermarkets, economists and god botherers. They always have and always will.
I am genuinely scared that we will not make the necessary move quickly enough to avert the worst consequences of what we, collectively and in ignorance, are causing. Up until now, our impact on our planet’s interconnected ecosystems has only been a game. This time it is serious.
Of course, we can continue to stick our head in the sand and deny anything that may interfere with our cosy lives in our developed societies but my believe is that it will catch up with us - you and me.
Alternatively, we can acknowledge that something bad is happening and try to do something about it. Hey, even if it’s not happening on the scale that some of us believe, j
watch the al gore documentary an inconvient truth it really is that good to make you change your mind we are screwing the planet more than we are screwing iraq
#52 Alexander said, “As measured in ice cores dated over many thousands of years, CO2 levels move up and down AFTER the temperature has done so, and thus are the RESULT OF, NOT THE CAUSE of warming.”
It is true that ice core evidence shows that the initial warming at the end of glacial periods happened before CO2 levels began to increase. After that both CO2 and temperature generally increased very rapidly. It is also true that as the surface of the Earth warms “expels more CO2”. This evidence is consistent with two quite independent factors: 1) that warming (however caused) causes release of CO2 from “sinks” (probably both oceanic and terrestrial) and 2) that increase in atmospheric CO2 causes increased warming via the greenhouse effect. The initial warming at the end of glacial periods is considered to be caused by changes in Earth’s orbit (called Milankovitch cycles). There is nothing new in the argument. It has been explained so many times one wonders how anyone with anyone with any interest in climate science could have missed it.
As for changes in recent CO2 levels: the present rate of change is unprecedented for at least 800,000 years.In the last 17 years it has increased by 30ppmv, whereas during all of those 800,000 years it never increased by 30ppmv in less than 1000 years. The rate of increase has not been constant over the last 25 years: it is increasing.
As for “proof”. This is climate science, not geometry. Try proving evolution, or even something relatively simple, like the moon causing the tides. Those who claim that global warming is false because it hasn’t been “proved” demonstrate their ignorance of science.
#55 AlexanderThe IPCC does not involve itself in peer reviewing: that is the job of the normal scientific community. The IPCC involves itself with previously peer reviewed papers, and your other comments about the IPCC are similarly misinformed. As for the “hockey stick” graph: Since the original Mann paper in 1998, upon which the Hockey stick was based, examinations from many different sources have found similar results. As a result of criticism of the Mann (hockey stick) paper in the 2001 IPCC report, the American National Academy of Science National Research Council conducted an investigation. It was published in June 2006 and runs to 155pages. It says:
“the key conclusions reached by those studies [the hockey stick] (i.e., that hemispheric-scale warmth in recent decades is likely unprecedented over at last the past millennium) have been substantiated by many other studies, and the confidence in those conclusions appears greater, not lesser, after nearly an additional decade of research”(pg. 109 of the report).[quoted from www.Realclimate 22 June 2006].
The NAS/NRC press release states:
“There is sufficient evidence from tree rings, boreholes, retreating glaciers, and other "proxies" of past surface temperatures to say with a high level of confidence that the last few decades of the 20th century were warmer than any comparable period in the last 400 years, according to a new report from the National Research Council. Less confidence can be placed in proxy-based reconstructions of surface temperatures for A.D. 900 to 1600, said the committee that wrote the report, although the available proxy evidence does indicate that many locations were warmer during the past 25 years than during any other 25-year period since 900. Very little confidence can be placed in statements about average global surface temperatures prior to A.D. 900 because the proxy data for that time frame are spa
Scottweb and Guga, You guys have it on the mark...and Bonnie Prince Charlie needs to get a Life, not a Footprint!
...and speaking of CO2, when did this become a problem gas? I seem to remember from High School Science class that CO2 and O2 were exchanged between animals and plants, and each was necessary to the survival of both. I wonder Who cooked up this Scheme? Did it evolve somehow?
#48 and subsequent commentators on CO2.
Please read what I actually pointed out, and think about its implications. The 7.3 billion tonnes of annual man made CO2 emissions are insignificant, compared to nature's 180 biilion tonnes. Further, since nature's emissions vary, they can easily exceed man's contribution at any time. A statistician would describe them as being "lost in the noise" of nature's variability.
Hence, even if we reduced our own CO2 emissions by 50%, it would have no perceptible effect on nature's total output. Its only, and very perceptible, effect would be to severely damage the economies of industrialised nations. Some, especially in "have not" nations, might feel this would be a good thing, in order to "cut the west down to size." Could this have been behind Kyoto? Some feel it could have been.
Regardless, one thing is clear. The sort of cataclysmic events which some postulate here can never be prevented by puny human efforts of changing light bulbs and buying hybrid cars. That's as helpful as whistling while walking past a graveyard.
Greens, of course, don't want these issues raised. But they should, and must, be raised.
Slioch I note your naive confidence in the IPCC. As regards "peer revue" the IPCC does not do so itself, but they do SELECT the revuers and those who do not fit with their ideas are excluded. I should further point out that the IPCC website bars the Hoi Poloi from access to the original technical papers.Here is one assessment of the IPCC, not mine.Line by line analysis of the SPM reveals that all of the science that cuts against the theory of human interference with climate has been systematically omitted. In some cases the leading arguments against human interference are actually touched on, but without being revealed or discussed. In other cases the evidence against human interference is simply ignored. Because of these strategic omissions, the SPM voices a degree of certainty that is entirely false.
Glaring omissions are only glaring to experts, so the "policymakers" -- including the press and the public -- who read the SPM will not realize they are being told only one side of a story. But the scientists who drafted the SPM know the truth, as revealed by the sometimes artful way they conceal it. This deliberate distortion can only be explained by the fact that the UN IPCC is part of an advocacy process, organized by the United Nations Environment Program and supporting the Kyoto Protocol.
Just a small addendum. A few folk (#4 Bite-Back, #9 Harbinger, #15 Boswell) have questioned the loss of ice from Antarctica, with reference to last week’s ITV programmes (UK) about that continent.
The first-ever gravity survey of the entire Antarctic ice sheet, conducted by the NASA Grace satellite in 2002 and again in 2005, concluded that the Antarctic ice sheet was losing 152 (+ or - 80) cubic kilometres of ice per year between 2002 and 2005.
That is in addition to the 8,000 square kilometres of ice shelf lost from around the Antarctic Peninsula since the 1950’s.
#64 Human emissions of CO2 have increased the atmospheric concentration by about 40% since 1750. CO2 concentrations have been monitored continuously since 1958. The amount given out naturally is also largely re-absorbed naturally. It is the human component, only some of which is absorbed, that has produced the rise in concentration.
How do they know this isn't just the earth returning to what it was like in the first place?
I remember studying about the dinosaur time periods, how it was sub-tropical even up into the northern parts of North America. There is common and prevalant fossil eveidence of this (plants and animal). Then along came an outside factor of some sort, now felt to have been an asteroid/meteor, that triggered a huge long ice age.
Do we really know all this global warming isn't just the earth finally getting back to "normal". That it is one of those things that as the change progresses, it progresses at an increasingly faster rate?
I get so tired of it always being humankind's fault - like we don't belong here or somthing. I get tired of these scientists and such that seem to want little more than for us to all hate ourselves because we're the cause of every woe.
We haven't been able to evaluate the climate for very long, it is a very new branch of science. I don't think they really have enough of a base of information to make all these claims.
Speaking of saving the planet, what are Al Gore's plans to protect the Earth from asteroid impact? Supernova? Black hole? Antimatter?
I mean, come ON! This is foolishness. Yes it's good to conserve energy when and where we can, but really, does anybody believe humans and humans alone are responsible for climate change? What the heck happened that initiated the ice ages? Humans weren't around then at all, or at least not in any numbers that could possibly have affected anything except some lion's dinner once in awhile.
Viscount: the hidden purpose of the Kyoto agreements was to drain money from developed nations by the super-polluting third world nations who couldn't give a rat's a$$ about the damage they're doing to the environment. It's free money. So they're all for Kyoto while they pump vast amounts of toxic materials into the environment.
#19 Meldrew asks if their are too many people on the planet and the answer is YES, of course.That is where the main problem lays.Meanwhile the Roman Catholic Church forbids the faithful to use any practical method of birth control. The "rhythm method" being laughed out as being downright stupid.The Church of Rome has much to answer for in polluting the world.
69 and 70 Worrying complacency ?
The people of the USA have been kept in the dark about this whole issue for far too long. The USA failed to respond to the fears expressed by most other countries delegates at Kyoto. Only with recent moves by the UN and certain US politicians has the whole issue become taken seriously in North America..
In answer to your clear doubts, it has to be emphasised that CO2 levels in the atmosphere are now continuing to increase ever faster beyond the highest points ever seen in Ice core samples that have been extracted from Icecaps at both poles. These indicate that in over 100,000 years this has never happend before.
In view of the doubts that seem to come repeatedly from the USA it may be relevant to ask at which point CO2 levels will start to make human life impossible ? Also, even if this is just the earth readjusting to it's real state ( a very questionable viewpoint indeeed) are the people who doubt the data that scientists are collecting and adding to every day , really ready to go the way of the dinosaurs.? Should we not try everything to ensure that if there is a man made contribution to this ever spiralling level of CO2 and other damaging gases in the atmosphere, we take every step to remove the manmade causes. Don't we owe this - at the very least - to future generations to ensure our survival as a species ?
#50 Slioch: Sheesh, I step out of the room for the evening, and the self-righteous take over! Others have commented and discredited much of your argumens in #50 and onward, but let me just add the one climatologist you asked for:
Professor Bob Carter of the Marine Geophysical Laboratory at James Cook University in Australia
This site gives some information on Dr. Carter, along with several websites for additional reference.
Thanks for the laughs, Slioch! Keep the blinkers on and the keyboard smoking!
The site:
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Bob_Carter
Hey, just a thought...
Who says that warming things up a bit wouldn't help in many ways? You know, they farmed in Siberia until it became an Arctic wasteland. Can you imagine the millions of acres of farmland opened up with a little warming? And think of the fresh water reserves (one of our REAL problems globally) available once they've been released from the ice at the poles. Back in the 90s a study was released saying that Canada uses only about 10% of its total fresh water reserves, because the rest is held in ice. They could make a fortune piping water to the rest of the world!
We know so little about global climate change. We know even less about what causes it and even less about what the consequences would be. Even if there is global warming--and that's a big IF--that doesn't mean the world is about to end.
(And Martha--#69 and #70--nicely said!)
Mike J.... haven't you been busy ?
If this is the list of everyone of those who you can find who doubt climate change can be proved, then there will be definitely be several hundred more who refuse to go on record supporting either viewpoint.
The simple explanation is that differences exist between proving something scientifically, and interpreting accurate data which shows that there are a series of things happening ...in this case with the atmosphere and climate ....which might lead to some unassailable conclusion as to the causes..
A lot of scientists remain to be convinced. These people have reputations to cling to and will never have gone on public record stating that the present evidence is sufficient proof. They may even have no doubts about evidence to support Global warming theories. Many might say - in private - that they are very concerned.
Reputable scientists work with data / evidence. Sufficient data can sometimes reveal and identify certain thruths. This Global warming subject is far too complex, far too many specialties are involved. This means that few people have the intellect or the opportunity /time to interpret all the evidence. But the warming theories and the Greenhouse gas trends remain to be discounted/disproved.
It would be as useful to prepare a list of all those distinguished scientists and others who have already gone on record stating that they do accept that Global warming is a reality.
But then lists of names , even famous ones are not proof either way....and I suspect you know that. ;-)
td your link, which, if your word is to be taken as worth anything at all, shows, as you & rules claim, global warming causes rivers to silt up.
In facr it did not even contain the words "global warming". Once again you demonstrate why Slioch holds you up as an outstanding example for catastrophic warming enthusiasts while being so wonderfully free of the ravages of accuracy..
#67 Slioch.
Annual man made CO2 emissions are currently around 7.3 billion tonnes. Using your 40% increase , they've gone up by about 3 billion tonnes since 1750.
But that hasn't increased the TOTAL atmospheric concentration of CO2 by 40%, which is what you claim. Natural annual CO2 emissions are around 180 billion tonnes, +/- 10%, so an increase of 3 billion is so piddling as to be barely noticeable.
You claim there's a difference between natural CO2, which you say "is largely re-absorbed naturally,"andman made CO2, "only some of which is re-absorbed." And the balance of that man made CO2, you say, is producing the problem.
That's scientific nonsense. There is absolutely no difference between natural CO2 and man made CO2. Absolutely none. So the notion that the natural emissions are somehow benign while the man made ones are potentially harmful is ridiculous. It's sort of like claiming that the blood in your toes is different than the blood in your fingers.
So as I said before, cutting back human CO2 emissions has simply no effect on the overall atmospheric CO2 concentration. Its only effect is to boost the "feel good" mentality of Green people, as they cheer the erection of another totally pointless wind farm, the shutdown of another industry, or the imposition of more laws to "save ourselves from ourselves." since they know better than we do what's good for us.
Environmental sensitivity is good, but its practice has been captured by a cult-like mentality which is essentially anti-progress, anti-industry and totally indifferent to economics, unemployment and personal freedom. Green folk wring their hands about the horrors of fossil fuel, but blindly reject totally non polluting nuclear power. They tut-tut about third world poverty, but strenuously object to the use of DDT, which could save the lives of millions of future deaths from malaria. And one could go on and on.
100% Viscount.
And again Neil you demonstrate that you have not been paying attention to what was written
I NEVER claimed that global warming caused increases in River silt. Your questioning was whether there is any connection between a huge range of observed changes and the deductions that some of them may contribute to further global warming, or maybe have themselves been instrumental in causing warming effects.
What ' Rules ' pointed out is the widely recognised effect of the clearance of forests in the Himalaya and other mountain ranges within the river catchment area drained by the Ganges. This has increased the erosion of topsoil. On the flood plain of the lower Ganges this silt has exacerbated the regular flooding in Bangladesh, by raising the river bed so that the floods become more extensive. The increased Turbidity and pollution in the water has also altered the ecosystem within the river, upsetting fisheries- evidence of the changing ecology of the Ganges delta. Higher flood levels also drown vegetation, and destroy crops and other carbon absorbing plantlife. Increased turbidity means that aquatic plant life no longer receives adequate sunlight. Then the whole food chain is affected. It is this causal link that the paper , which I provided a link to, demonstrates clearly.
A second effect within river basins is being noted in the Amazon where 20% of the rainforest has been cleared in the past 60 years. Because seasonal rains are no longer being " soaked up" by the jungle there is increased run off.This causes increases in erosion of top soil which is carried into the river system. Again this raises the level of the riverbed. The port of Manaus some 1450 km from the Atlantic is reported to have begun to experience economic consequences due to the change in the flow rates and depths of the Amazon river. One thing scientists have started to study is the zone of confluence, out in the ocean where the fresh water meets and mingles with
I’ve been away for awhile. Rather surprised to see how much has been said meantime. Let me briefly respond before it gets too late.
Firstly to #79 Viscount
You misunderstand the situation with respect to carbon dioxide. Let me try to explain in more detail than I did in #67.
The present concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is 383 parts per million by volume (ppmv). This works out at 2,996 billion tons of CO2, or 817 billion tons of carbon. (44 tons of carbon dioxide contains 12 tons of carbon).In 1750, the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere was approximately 270 ppmv. This works out at about 2,100 billion tons of CO2, or about 580 billion tons of carbon. The concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is known from ice cores not to have exceeded 300ppmv for at least 800,000 years prior to 1750.The difference (about 900 billion tons of CO2, or 244 billion tons of carbon) has been caused by the extra CO2 released to the atmosphere by burning fossil fuels and destroying woodlands and other land use changes.Your 7.3 billion tons per year (actually I think it’s up to about 8 now, but not to worry) is the figure for carbon, not carbon dioxide – the media is notoriously bad at knowing the difference.So the total atmospheric concentration of Co2 HAS gone up by c.40% due to man-made changes since 1750, and is now increasing far faster (at 30ppmv every 17 years) than ever before in those 800,000 years (during which time it never increased by 30ppmv in 1000 years).Your third and fourth paragraphs are correct, but based on a misunderstanding of what I was saying -admittedly fairly briefly and not very clearly. So let’s try again:Think of a bath containing some water. Some of the water is pumped out of the bath to a nearby reservoir for half and hour, and then the SAME amount is pumped back for the next half hour. That represents the natural carbon cycle (except that the time is a year rather than an hour). It is easy to
Secondly to #76, Mike J
Yes, as td said – you’ve been busy.
Well I know most of the names you mention. Without wishing to tar all with the same brush before going into details, many of them work for institutions funded covertly by ExxonMobil. Many of the arguments they put forward have been roundly discredited by real climatologists.
You will find many of the names you give prominent in a new report from the Union of Concerned Scientists that offers the most comprehensivedocumentation to date of how ExxonMobil has adopted the tobacco industry'sdisinformation tactics, as well as some of the same organizations and personnel,to cloud the scientific understanding of climate change and delay action on the issue.According to the report, ExxonMobil has funneled nearly $16 million between 1998and 2005 to a network of 43 advocacy organizations that seek to confuse the publicon global warming science."ExxonMobil has manufactured uncertainty about the human causes of global warmingjust as tobacco companies denied their product caused lung cancer," said Alden Meyer,the Union of Concerned Scientists' Director of Strategy & Policy. "A modest but effectiveinvestment has allowed the oil giant to fuel doubt about global warming to delay governmentaction just as Big Tobacco did for over 40 years."For the complete article click the link below:”
www.ucsusa.org/news/press_release/ExxonMobil-Globa...
This campaign was promoted by a memo from American Petroleum Institute, 1998. that stated, “Victory will be achieved when average citizens ‘understand’ (recognise) uncertainties in climate science”
Seems to me Mike, that you are one of their victims.
Let me just look at some of the names Mike J gives in #76
The George C Marshall Institute, (that between 1998 and 2005 received $630,000 funding from Exxonmobil), commisioned contrarian Sallie Baliunas to write several articles positing that solar activity might be responsible for global warming.
Robert Balling works for Exxonmobil funded organisations.
David Bellamy, once respected as a biologist, now sadly regarded as a buffoon for his stance on climate change. Famously demolished by George Monbiot on Channel 4 news for using false data on melting glaciers.
Bob Carter writes nonsensical stuff in the British paper “Daily Telegraph” and on his own web-site.
Lindzen, apparently respected for some of his work. Works for three institutes funded by ExxonMobil.
Lomborg – well now we see where you are coming from.
Patrick Michaels is a meteorologist affiliated to at least ten organisation funded by ExxonMobil. Must be a good living.
I’ve run out of time – but I hope you get the gist. Do one thing Mike: please read the report by the Union Of Concerned Scientists. It might change the way you understand climate change.