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Gerald Warner: Our cult of the amateur has let Brown destroy Britain

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Published Date: 01 March 2009
GORDON has turned feral and it is not a pretty sight. As with all control freaks heading for downfall, he has adopted a scorched-earth policy. Britain has proved itself unworthy of its great Leader, so must take the consequences.

Taxpayers' money is being squandered in hundreds of billions of pounds in a desperate effort to prop up doomed Labour. Not since the retreating Wehrmacht in 1944 have we seen demolition on so promiscuous a scale.

Historians will struggle to unde
rstand this crisis. How, they will ask, in the country regarded as the mother of democracies, could a manic spendthrift be allowed to incinerate the nation's dwindling wealth, with no mechanism available to remove him from power? We are spectators of the despoliation of Britain for at least two generations to come.

Journalists have described as "explosive" the evidence given last month by Paul Moore, the HBOS whistle-blower, to the Commons Treasury select committee. Now Moore has promised to hand MPs 30 documents which he claims place the blame for the financial meltdown squarely upon Gordon Brown. "Brown must go," said Moore. "He cannot remain in office." Unfortunately he can, sustained by the votes of Labour MPs who know they are destined for culling at the next election. That is why the present political system may not survive this crisis. Brown's immunity to parliamentary defeat damns our constitution.

Consider this man's career. On the first day of Labour government in 1997 it is credibly claimed he had a "blazing face-to-face row" with Eddie George, governor of the Bank of England, over Brown's plan to end the Bank's regulatory powers, replace them with the now discredited tripartite authority of government, Financial Services Authority and governor, and fob off the Bank with the Monetary Policy Committee as a consolation prize. This was subsequently trumpeted – and applauded by Tories – as "independence" for the Bank of England.

In his first budget Brown raided pension funds of £5bn, repeated annually and ratcheted up to more than £7bn, at a cost to the industry of £100bn. Documents published under freedom of information reveal officials warned Brown against this; but, as we know from former Treasury Permanent Secretary Lord Turnbull, Brown ran the Treasury with "Stalinist ruthlessness".

Not everyone has suffered. There are more than five million public-sector workers with final salary, index-linked pensions which will cost taxpayers £1 trillion. The average public-sector pension is worth £17,091 a year, compared with the average private-sector pension annuity of £1,086. More than 17,000 public-sector workers have already retired with pensions worth more than £1m – including 167 staff of the failed Royal Mail.

This is Gordon's client state, the élite he hopes will save him at the polls. He has been recruiting to it on a massive scale. More than 1.3m out of 2.2 million jobs created between 1998 and 2006 were in the public sector. Scotland and the South-West of England came top in this league table of stagnation, with a 29% increase; but the South-West at least registered a parallel 8% growth in private-sector jobs – in Scotland it was 3%. In 1997 one job in five was in the public sector; today, it is one in four.

Those are the shock troops Gordon hopes will spearhead his Ardennes Offensive in 2010. It is startling to think that he was ever associated with economic competence. Between 1999 and 2002 Golden Brown sold off 60% of the UK's gold reserves at $275 an ounce – a 20-year low. From 1997 to 2006 Britain's much-vaunted average growth of 2.7% may have looked good next to the sclerotic Eurozone, but it was lower than in any other English-speaking country.

All of Gordon's past fiascos, however, pale into insignificance beside the last act of his Götterdämmerung, now playing before a captive audience. Before the first banks bail-out, the Institute for Fiscal Studies was already denouncing Brown's claim that debt was below 40% of GDP, claiming that, when PFI liabilities and public-sector pensions were factored in, it exceeded 100% of GDP. Now Gordon has rolled up his sleeves and is shovelling billions of banknotes into the furnace of RBS and every other zombie institution. This fantasist thinks in trillions now – last Friday's £2.3bn car industry bail-out was small change.

The British cult of the amateur transformed a history graduate and politics lecturer, with no formal financial qualifications, into the acclaimed pundit of post-neoclassical endogenous growth theory. "No return to boom and bust." Your great-grandchildren may enjoy the humour of that – the intervening generations will be preoccupied with paying for it.





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1

Retiarius,

Batavadorum 01/03/2009 12:35:04
The Ardennes Offensive metaphor doesn't work - far too few people know anything about military history, and Gordon Brown cannot plausibly be compared with Kampfgruppe Pfeiffer. Would that make David Cameron George S Patton? No, I don't think so.
2

Mr. Lachie Todd,

Edinburgh 01/03/2009 13:29:53
All these many tens of thousands of retired public sector workers now receiving decent pensions, for which they made considerable personal contributions, must be glad that during the height of the "Loadsamoney 1980s" they were not bribed into purchasing a private pension?

Many tens of thousands of employees in large and small private company schemes, and those foolish enough in in the public sector, to transfer into private schemes after being bribed by a paltry tax relief carrot, and misinformed by many of the financial services companies, must now be regretting their actions.

Like many other financial products, including endowments, which were miss-sold during the same period, many now find their diminished market returns have failed to pay out the exaggerated forecasts.

Unless, of course, you were one of the many hundreds of failed CEOs of UK companies!
3

Bolivarian Scot,

BorisTown 01/03/2009 14:46:47
The Hitlerian metaphor is lazy and sensationalist but vintage Warner.

Of course, Gordon Brown has a lot to answer for but, with all due respect to the Daily Mail lynch mob, with their pitchforks and flaming torches: he's not the only one.

All mainstream politicians, and most pundits (including the media), supported "light-touch" regulation, as demanded by the financial community, who employed battalions of corporate lawyers, lobbyists and other well-paid hangers-on to cajole and threaten regulators with "career suicide" and expensive litigation, or tempt the best into the private sector.

It was the financial sector who designed ever-more complex investment vehicles mixing sub-prime debt with investment-grade.

It was ratings agencies (eg Standard & Poor's) who mislabelled the resultant "financial WMDs" (Warren Buffet) as low-risk, which globalised banking systems spread around till no-one knew how much of the "gold-painted turds" was "out there" when the music finally stopped and the wholesale markets dried up literally overnight: an unprecedented event foreseen by no-one, least of all the Daily Mail rentamob, most of whom were, until the Northern Rock fiasco, blissfully ignorant of the very existence of wholesale interbank lending.

Gerald Warner mocks Gordon Brown's lack of formal financial qualifications but what are his? He quotes the average UK public sector pension as £17,091. Apart from the whole "average vs median" distinction (a subtlety that escapes the average journalist more comfortable with words than numbers), his other rag, The Torygraph, published an article on 2/12/08 saying that the average UK public-sector pension is just £7,000:-

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/pensions/3534233/Public-sector-pensions-Just-how-generous-are-they.html

Come on Gerald, get with the programme! There's a big difference between your numbers and the Torygraph's of just three months ago. As the late Bill Deedes would have said:
4

Bolivarian Scot,

BorisTown 01/03/2009 14:56:05
/...... CONTINUED

As the late Bill Deedes would have said: "Shurely shome mishtake?!"

As # 2 Lachie Todd says, Broon's pensions raid wasn't the only problem with UK private sector pensions, either. Apart from the very serious problems of misselling and the generally poor level of financial awareness amongst the UK public, most of the collapse in fund values since 1997 is due to stock market underperformance, eg the dotcom collapse.

The UK private pensions industry is famously greedy, overcharging for its dubious services (eg most managed funds fail to match the performance of tracker funds). An extra 0.5% commission on a private pension doesn't sound like much but makes a huge impact over a 30-year timeframe.

And not a word, from Warner the financial guru, about the impact of longevity, the biggest factor of all. The fact that people are living longer is, on the whole, a good thing and therefore presumably falls outwith the scope of doom-mongering rightwing miserabilists.
5

Teemackell the Scribe,

01/03/2009 15:53:30
The above contributors are being hard on Warner who does get the big picture right -however careless he is on some detail. The pompous objection of #1, Retiarius, to GW's 'Ardennes' metaphor is especially absurd. Even fewer (I for one) have heard of Kampfgruppe Pfeiffer who is, presumably, the Robert Shaw character in The Battle of the Bulge.

Prime responsibility for our financial catastrophe,
indeed, lies with Gordon Brown and his decision on the Bank of England. Indeed GW is too generous in his treatment of GB on this issue. Think back to 1997: the Tories, before AND AFTER the election, claimed that New Labour was preparing to transfer ultimate control of the UK's currency from elected politicians to unelected bankers -in Frankfurt. GB decided to shoot that fox with both barrels -but serially.

Transfer of interest and inflation rates the core determinants of our currency's worth- responsibilities WOULD be transferred to unelected bankers -but not in Frankfurt. That 'project' would be completed once the electorate saw the advantages. Then the second barrel would be fired: transfer from London to Frankfurt when we entered the Euro. Since Europe's financial institutions were regulated on a national basis, the Financial Services Authority (FSA) HAD to be set up.

But GB discovered that being outside the EURO and having light-touch regulation gave him a competitive edge over the Euro zone He thus, in the teeth of opposition from Blair and Mandelson, set his face against joining by inventing the 'five tests.' Remember them? They were a fig-leaf for GB's anti-EURO plus light-touch stance.

Now, all this has collapsed. The FSA is a proven disaster and Bank of England independence has been cast aside as GB prepares his Weimar (oops, sorry Retiarius, not all know about that) strategy of quantitative easing. This is not, as I said elsewhere (and ruthlessly plagiarised by professional journalists), a cure for constipation. Fred the Shred, Grocer Ho
6

Teemackell the Scribe,

01/03/2009 15:54:10
CONT

/Grocer Hornby, 'Bling' Crosby and the rest would have found their adventurism curbed by the ancien regime of Eddie George in Threadneedle Street. Fact.

In short, we are the new Sick Man of Europe. Our economic debilitation is primarily down to one man: Gordon Brown.
7

SkeptikScot,

01/03/2009 16:30:27
I wouldn't worry about public sector pensions, I'm sure they will be plundered to within an each of their lives in the not-too-distant future. I assume that the government will "take care" of the Royal Mail's pension fund (£17bn, £8bn short but a bird in the hand ...) when they do their partial sell off.

The government are definitely encouraging pension attacks (inc. on Sir Fred and on any "gold plated pensions" except ministerial ones) so I assume this will be the next target. Wonder what'll come after that?
8

SkeptikScot,

01/03/2009 16:32:43
#7 Oops, sorry, pensions to be "plundered to within an INCH of their lives" not "EACH of their lives"!
9

Itchy,

01/03/2009 16:52:39
#3 Brown is a Marxist and has looted and spent Britain dry.
10

gordon'sboomhasbust,

glasgow 01/03/2009 17:20:29
Breathtaking hypocrisy from Warner as usual.
Warner told Scots to VOTE LABOUR in Scotland at the last elections in order to stop the SNP from ruining Scotland.
"Hold your nose and vote Labour " were his words.
Well you've got your Labour Party Gerald. So why all the whining ?
11

weh,

01/03/2009 21:51:38
#7 Oops, sorry, pensions to be "plundered to within an INCH of their lives" not "EACH of their lives"!

Skepticscot-you didnt need to post this-it was bloomin obvious!
12

weh,

01/03/2009 21:53:11
Breathtaking hypocrisy from Warner as usual.
Warner told Scots to VOTE LABOUR in Scotland at the last elections in order to stop the SNP from ruining Scotland.
"Hold your nose and vote Labour " were his words.
Well you've got your Labour Party Gerald. So why all the whining ?

Gordon-I recall this also! However, I believe warner now sees the error of his ways, and for that I am truly grateful!

The enemy of my enemy (GB) is my friend!
13

Fred Forsythe (not the),

England 02/03/2009 20:43:26
A corporal running the war.
It has been done before!
14

Robbierunciman,

Romney Marsh 03/03/2009 17:23:39
I guess he is trying to be provacative.
Too many newspapers have right wing rent a quote columnists who comment on everything and understand nothing - Look at the damage that the mail has done through its campaign against MMR. I think it would be nice if newspapers gave us access to more diverse voices.

The Government has made mistakes but only a few people saw this world crisis coming, and many - particularly the journalists now condemning the government and talking up a man closely involved in our last self inflicted financial crisis, would have poured scorn on them had they taken pre-emptive action.

The play book here and elsewhere is to avoid the kind of slump we had in 30's when banks collapsed.
15

Retiarius,

Command Post, Remagen Bridge 05/03/2009 13:31:06
(belated reply to Teemackell): Pompous? Mich? Niemals! Kampgruppe Pfeiffer was of course an elite military formation, not the fictitious character played by Robert Shaw (with died blond hair)in the tacky old film Gerry was presumably watching on Sky Gold when he came up with this drivel.
I shall explain what really happened in the Ardennes next time I'm at the alte bierkeller - complete with slides and annotated diagrams. No, I insist - you deserve it!
16

Retiarius,

Command Post, Remagen Bridge 05/03/2009 13:38:03
In fact, recalling last week's debate about the Eurosausage, the wurst has yet to come ...
17

Teemackell the Scribe,

05/03/2009 23:02:09
#15, Retiarius:

Mein Kampgruppe Pfeiffer!


Weder Robert Shaw noch der Großvater von Michelle Pfeiffer. Leider! Elend!
18

Retiarius,

Command Post, Remagen Bridge 05/03/2009 23:26:35
KAMPFGRUPPE! Nicht "Kampgruppe"! Sie mussen das "F" haben, Schottisches schweinhund!
Es war die Fraulein im "Abba" wer einen Nazi vater gehaben .. nicht wahr? "Michelle" ist einen krappliche
Franzozischen Name.
Incidentally, Robert Vaughan played the ultimately luckless German commander in The Bridge at Remagen, a much better film than "The Battle of the Bulge" - and he didn't dye his hair blond.
19

Teemackell the Scribe,

06/03/2009 18:21:56
#18, Retiarius:


'KAMPFGRUPPE! Nicht "Kampgruppe"! Sie mussen das "F" haben, Schottisches schweinhund!'

#15, Retiarius:

"Kampgruppe Pfeiffer was of course ..."


20

Retiarius,

Pegasus Bridge 06/03/2009 21:54:40
An early 80's gay German heavy metal Wagner tribute band?
21

Teemackell the Scribe,

07/03/2009 14:30:18
You tell me.

The quote is yours.

And the spelling!

 

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